Projecting the DJIA and S&P 2000 Tops and 2002 Bottom with a BalancePoint and the Golden Mean


This first example illustrates the importance of our original concept, BalancePoints, and its importance in projecting a top in 2000 and a bottom in 2002.

The first chart illustrates how the twenty year move, June 25, 1962 - August 12, 1982, is multiplied by the basic Golden Mean ratio, 1.618 and then added to the 1967 top BalancePoint, July 7, 1967, to project January 14, 2000, a major DJIA top.

The derivation of the 1967 top BalancePoint is shown in the upper left hand corner of the chart.

Click the chart to magnify it:

example1-67topbp-2000top.gif

This second example uses the same 1967 top BalancePoint as a starting point. This point is connected to the February 18, 2000 top BalancePoint, which is between the January 2000 DJIA top and the March 2000 S&P top. There are 8239 days between the 1967 and 2000 top BalancePoints. I am going to use the ratio .618, the inverse of the 1.618 ratio used in projecting the January 2000 DJIA top.

Click this chart to magnify it:

example1-67topbp-2000top.gif